Sorry IS but I always say that on SINGLE game night with heavy action on one side be very careful playing the favorite. It doesn't matter how much the numbers favor one side. I said this already two Monday night's ago when everyone took Baltimore over K.C to be careful if this situation shows up again like tonight. Talking from many years of experience.
I agree there is no correlation from one week to the next. What I'm saying is the philosophy behind why we bet base on information that one side is heavy, like two Monday nights ago. Same situation with the same results; dogs covered and win.